Who is going to be the chump who lines upbon the other side of this?

We don't know in advance who's on the same side as the insider. If we did, then there'd be no point to the insider. So, absent insider information the market should just trade based on the information available and you hope you end up on the correct side (whether that's at time of resolution or at time of insider revelations).

Stacker_Stocks

econ

The Finance of Hedging, Prediction Market Style (Money Stuff, Matt Levine)

denlillaapan

> Who is going to be the chump who lines upbon the other side of this?

We don't know in advance who's on the same side as the insider. If we did, then there'd be no point to the insider. So, absent insider information the market should just trade based on the information available and you hope you end up on the correct side (whether that's at time of resolution or at time of insider revelations).