> Who is going to be the chump who lines upbon the other side of this?

We don't know in advance who's on the same side as the insider. If we did, then there'd be no point to the insider. So, absent insider information the market should just trade based on the information available and you hope you end up on the correct side (whether that's at time of resolution or at time of insider revelations).

Undisciplined

denlillaapan

Let the degens have their bets. An interesting question I have, though is who they expect to take the other side of these KPi bets -- I mean it's not magic money. Who is going to be the chump who lines upbon the other side of this? If not a chump, who says they will give very good odds?