'Ali Vaez, an Iran analyst at International Crisis Group, said the idea that American and Israeli bombing would trigger a popular uprising in Iran is wishful thinking.
“There is no modern precedent for regime change achieved through air power alone. Bombs can degrade infrastructure. They can weaken capabilities. But they do not manufacture organized political alternatives,” he said.
“History shows external attack tends to consolidate regimes, not topple them. Nationalism kicks in. Dissent gets branded as treason. Space for opposition shrinks,” he said.'
'Ali Vaez, an Iran analyst at International Crisis Group, said the idea that American and Israeli bombing would trigger a popular uprising in Iran is wishful thinking.
“There is no modern precedent for regime change achieved through air power alone. Bombs can degrade infrastructure. They can weaken capabilities. But they do not manufacture organized political alternatives,” he said.
“History shows external attack tends to consolidate regimes, not topple them. Nationalism kicks in. Dissent gets branded as treason. Space for opposition shrinks,” he said.'
WSJ