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A miner who loses a site or goes bust mid contract can't deliver, and there's no exchange standing behind this

That was one of my concerns regarding the risks.

By the way, how liquid is this market?

It's tenor dependent. Inside ninety days there are enough counterparties that you can usually get a price in a day or two. Past six months it's bespoke, one buyer at a time, and the price is a negotiation rather than a quote.

Spreads are wide. Single digit percentages wide, not basis points. Clip size is low single digit exahash, so you can't move a large fleet's production in one ticket. There's no order book, no clearing house, no screen. It's a chat market with a broker in the middle, and a lot of the time the broker is us.

So the useful way to think about it: liquid enough that a miner who needs funding can reliably get funded. Not liquid enough to treat as a hedge you can exit quickly. Put a position on expecting to hold it to maturity, because unwinding early means calling the same small number of people and telling them you need out, which is not a negotiating position.

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