Found myself desiring a little bit of Taleb... Probably as a result of all this @Team_Predyx attention in recent weeks (BIPtardary + World Cup) so I picked up my well-read copy of Skin in the Game.
He's an interesting character, this other Lebanese thinker. I had forgotten how much I appreciate him and his ruthless prose, sarcastic insults and to-the-point bangers.
Good dudeGood dude
Here's some stuff I threw at the BIPtards on Twitter who refuse to bet on Predyx, kind of oddly enough, actually, since prediction markets are how we know what we know -- and King Luke's fork attempt is domed
#1530730, #1528883
"If you do not take risks for your opinion, you are nothing.""If you do not take risks for your opinion, you are nothing."
Will write some more serious reflections later.
Ew
we all have our guilty pleasures and nerdy oh, yes talk dirty to me!
Like, tell me you don't love the Intellectual Yet Idiot chapter??
We all know exactly this type of character, and it's unnerving how cognitively deficient they are.
Beautifully renderedBeautifully rendered
It takes him a while to get to it but "mistakes absence of evidence for evidence of absence" is the primary cognitive defense mechanism of this class.
It's why they can so readily and comfortably dismiss everyone they disagree with while maintaining their delusions to open-mindedness.
It becomes very predictable when you realize that they are basically religiously minded, and if something has not been declared as true by their high priests then it must not be true.
What's a little harder is how to recognize the boundaries that define their priestly class
It would be interesting to try to trace it out. Since deviations are so swiftly punished, it should be possible to observe the patterns of who gets banished for heresy when differences arise.
but wasn't Taleb super IYI about Covid?
yes. And he hates bitcoin too.
Even the sun has spots, etc .
What do you like about Taleb? IMO the only reason why he is so popular is because people are attracted to contrarian ideas. They are always looking for a cheat code to life, but there is none. Taleb is a doomer, similar to Ray Dalio, just with academic credentials (this is not a compliment), who predicted 21 of the last 3 recessions. The performance of his hedge fund is also questionable. So I see no reason to listen to him, but I'm glad that he managed to create this great reputation for himself.