pull down to refresh

[Performance Comparison: Bitcoin vs. Gold]

Period: September 18, 2014 – April 4, 2026

https://assets.st-note.com/img/1775290229-m1q7LceaKESGVAvt9ln0fZHW.png?width=1200

Parameter       Value
--------------  ---------
Benchmark       Benchmark
Risk-Free Rate  0.0%
Periods/Year    252
Compounded      Yes
Match Dates     Yes


                           Benchmark    Strategy
-------------------------  -----------  ----------
Start Period               2014-09-18   2014-09-18
End Period                 2026-04-04   2026-04-04
Risk-Free Rate             0.0%         0.0%
Time in Market             69.0%        100.0%

Cumulative Return          276.82%      14,546.30%
CAGR﹪                     8.25%        34.72%

Sharpe                     0.65         0.82
Prob. Sharpe Ratio         99.57%       99.96%
Smart Sharpe               0.64         0.8
Sortino                    0.93         1.2
Smart Sortino              0.91         1.17
Sortino/√2                 0.66         0.85
Smart Sortino/√2           0.64         0.83
Omega                      1.15         1.17

Max Drawdown               -20.87%      -83.4%
Max DD Date                2022-09-24   2018-12-15
Max DD Period Start        2020-08-07   2017-12-17
Max DD Period End          2023-11-30   2020-11-29
Longest DD Days            1211         1079
Volatility (ann.)          13.58%       55.7%
R^2                        0.0          0.0
Information Ratio          0.04         0.04
Calmar                     0.4          0.42
Skew                       -0.59        -0.1
Kurtosis                   13.78        7.86
Ulcer Performance Index    33.48        340.38
Risk-Adjusted Return       11.96%       34.72%
Risk-Return Ratio          0.04         0.05

Avg. Return                0.05%        0.14%
Avg. Win                   0.74%        2.47%
Avg. Loss                  -0.76%       -2.34%
Win/Loss Ratio             0.97         1.06
Profit Ratio               0.26         0.96

Expected Daily %           0.03%        0.12%
Expected Monthly %         0.95%        3.63%
Expected Yearly %          10.74%       46.76%
Kelly Criterion            4.86%        7.41%
Risk of Ruin               0.0%         0.0%
Daily Value-at-Risk        -1.37%       -5.59%
Expected Shortfall (cVaR)  -2.18%       -8.42%

Max Consecutive Wins       5            13
Max Consecutive Losses     5            8
Gain/Pain Ratio            0.15         0.17
Gain/Pain (1M)             0.88         1.08

Payoff Ratio               0.97         1.06
Profit Factor              1.15         1.17
Common Sense Ratio         1.22         1.22
CPC Index                  0.6          0.65
Tail Ratio                 1.06         1.04
Outlier Win Ratio          6.4          4.39
Outlier Loss Ratio         3.5          4.49

MTD                        0.08%        -1.83%
3M                         4.84%        -26.07%
6M                         19.86%       -45.22%
YTD                        7.53%        -23.46%
1Y                         50.19%       -19.4%
3Y (ann.)                  21.65%       21.85%
5Y (ann.)                  14.32%       2.24%
10Y (ann.)                 9.68%        41.87%
All-time (ann.)            8.25%        34.72%

Best Day                   6.08%        25.25%
Worst Day                  -11.37%      -37.17%
Best Month                 14.54%       69.63%
Worst Month                -12.22%      -37.77%
Best Year                  64.52%       1368.9%
Worst Year                 -10.44%      -73.56%

Avg. Drawdown              -3.13%       -11.53%
Avg. Drawdown Days         52           55
Recovery Factor            7.1          9.12
Ulcer Index                0.08         0.43
Serenity Index             0.92         0.79

Avg. Up Month              4.11%        22.14%
Avg. Down Month            -2.46%       -11.97%
Win Days %                 53.04%       52.44%
Win Month %                55.71%       55.0%
Win Quarter %              62.5%        52.08%
Win Year %                 69.23%       61.54%

Beta                       -            0.21
Alpha                      -            0.44
Correlation                -            5.23%
Treynor Ratio              -            67817.86%



[Worst 5 Drawdowns]

    Start       Valley      End           Days    Max Drawdown    99% Max Drawdown
--  ----------  ----------  ----------  ------  --------------  ------------------
 1  2017-12-17  2018-12-15  2020-11-29    1079          -83.40              -82.23
 2  2021-11-09  2022-11-21  2024-03-03     846          -76.63              -75.63
 3  2014-09-18  2015-01-14  2015-12-14     453          -61.06              -53.97
 4  2021-04-14  2021-07-20  2021-10-18     188          -53.06              -50.52
 5  2025-10-07  2026-02-05  2026-04-04     180          -49.74              -48.20



[Strategy Visualization]
via Matplotlib

copy


https://assets.st-note.com/img/1775290466-bk8TOWuXUzMyZSwgDA5ERV0e.png?width=1200

https://assets.st-note.com/img/1775290487-gW5u8UKypanvt2oklwi1hPMT.png?width=1200

https://assets.st-note.com/img/1775290495-75BJEjwKfmlxVYS63ORsDW8H.png?width=1200

https://assets.st-note.com/img/1775290501-ysjPw2hpOLNiQ8rM1R7ElqVn.png?width=1200

https://assets.st-note.com/img/1775290507-ju4LETcpq5VHrD7WRAQ6tG2I.png?width=1200

https://assets.st-note.com/img/1775290514-TW75SnpVtxsMG1yqYd4RCoHP.png?width=1200

https://assets.st-note.com/img/1775290520-jxKOzgsHmS7tiTNwrcZ0632F.png?width=1200

https://assets.st-note.com/img/1775290525-KxfOgIeEHhwkY4dTqFDv1SLW.png?width=1200

https://assets.st-note.com/img/1775290671-DXjFbizRJ0VOGy6AtUw7kpmn.png?width=1200

https://assets.st-note.com/img/1775290693-hQ6qR3MnS9BbP1aE4NuoiGfY.png?width=1200

https://assets.st-note.com/img/1775290709-jpQXNaKS8B9kdPOCAtRTrx7v.png?width=1200