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40 sats \ 11 replies \ @grayruby 20h \ parent \ on: Britain Has One Thing Going for It: Football (FT Editorial Board) Stacker_Sports econ

This is compelling stuff because there is a predyx market for whether Tottenham will get relegated or not.

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7 sats \ 10 replies \ @denlillaapan OP 20h

wow, why didn't you SAY SO!

https://beta.predyx.com/market/tottenham-202526-relegation-1776990858?ref=PREDYXTZ0UUNOP

Also, 6%... that reasonable?! It's roughly half-time, and West Ham only has to score 1 goal to flip this bet...?

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34 sats \ 9 replies \ @grayruby 20h

They are currently two points ahead of West Ham and they hold the tiebreaker so the only scenario in which they get relegated is if they lose and West Ham win. Tottenham is playing another bad team so they should be able to at least tie.

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47 sats \ 8 replies \ @denlillaapan OP 20h

ah, and just as I said that, Spurs scored. So bye-bye on this bet!

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40 sats \ 7 replies \ @grayruby 20h

I never learned so much about EPL relegation as I did trying to earn a few sats on this bet. Haha

6% isn't a bad return for a day.

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70 sats \ 2 replies \ @grayruby 20h

Anddddd it's gone

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47 sats \ 1 reply \ @denlillaapan OP 20h

I guess some people are more ballsy than me (s/o @Coinsreporter)

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29 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 20h

@coinsreporter has turned into an excellent predyx trader. He is killing it. We created a monster.

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37 sats \ 3 replies \ @denlillaapan OP 20h

well, it isn't 6%... fees + cut, and then there's the non-zero risk Everton scores twice and undermines the entire thing. I got "pennies before steamroller" vibes anyway

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29 sats \ 2 replies \ @grayruby 20h

You're right. It looks like coins will make 3% on his 5k shares that moved the price from 6% down to 1%.

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48 sats \ 1 reply \ @denlillaapan OP 19h

I guess decent, but risk-adjusted... uh-hu, no way: Like, only one out of 33 times the other team would flip the score and West Ham scores one goal (update: as they just did!)?
nope, WAY too aggressive

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70 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 19h

I don't know how it works in EPL but in many other sports teams that don't have anything to play for the final game of the year often rest their stars and let younger players get playing time. Tottenham were strong favourites going into the game even though they have a worse record than Everton. I wonder if that's the reason why.

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