I remain skeptical of assessments like this. When they're from humans, their reasoning isn't much deeper than how they feel. When they're from the bots, which are kind of like smart and amazing looping parrots, I suspect they struggle to deviate from the mid-best human PoV.
I'd love to find someone thinking more deeply about technology diffusion and how accelerating productivity gains are, eventually, harnessed.
I'm particularly afraid of programmers responding to this like they did the dotcom crash and running for the hills when this all may be short-lived shallow hysteria.
He's got the sign wrong for Software Developers: AI exposure will be positive, because who other than software devs will be rebuilding all other industries infrastructure to incorporate AI? The positive demand for AI software developers will hold at least until all other exposed industries are mostly replaced by AI.
The thing is, the jobs that are the most "threatened" are also the ones most enhanced by it
I guess Karpathy isn't explicitly saying these jobs are threatened, saying "exposed," but it sure feels like he's implying it.
I dunno why I read "threatened" when he didn't use that word. My bad. Maybe it's the red/green coloring.
It's how I read it as well, but after you commented I double checked his wording.
exposed sounds like a euphemism for extinct
I remain skeptical of assessments like this. When they're from humans, their reasoning isn't much deeper than how they feel. When they're from the bots, which are kind of like smart and amazing looping parrots, I suspect they struggle to deviate from the mid-best human PoV.
I'd love to find someone thinking more deeply about technology diffusion and how accelerating productivity gains are, eventually, harnessed.
I'm particularly afraid of programmers responding to this like they did the dotcom crash and running for the hills when this all may be short-lived shallow hysteria.
The source is Gemini Flash: https://github.com/karpathy/jobs?tab=readme-ov-file#ai-exposure-scoring
He's got the sign wrong for Software Developers: AI exposure will be positive, because who other than software devs will be rebuilding all other industries infrastructure to incorporate AI? The positive demand for AI software developers will hold at least until all other exposed industries are mostly replaced by AI.
not every software developer specializes or understands ai
Cool map. The big question isn’t just which jobs AI touches, but which ones people will still trust humans to do.