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P.S. I recently suggested you might check this podcast and gain a different perspective on China.
I guess you didn't have time to look at it...
https://www.youtube.com/live/RfnlAWc76sY
Chinas biggest asset in this whole contest is the woeful lack of understanding of China by nearly all US observers.
Gotta love the completely unsubstantiated claims you make.
Like USA having a stockpile of rare earths.
Substantiate or admit this is pure bullshit.
Likewise where is the evidence China has said they will invade Taiwan?
Like Trump has said he may use force to seize Greenland or that he will impose tariffs on European nations who sent troops to Greenland or his promise to end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours?
China claims Taiwan territory and clearly is posturing that that could use force- but they absolutely do not want to use force and I suggest will not use force- to use force would be a failure.
To regain Taiwan by negotiation is what they want.
It would both avoid bloodshed of citizens and show that they are now of such status that they can.
Taking Taiwan by force would be a PR failure for China and a win for USA. It is not going to happen.
Trump will agree to a staged transition of power in Taiwan and this could be agreed as soon as April.
The concessions he will get would be substantial and given the fragile state of US finances and empire in general that has got to be a win for USA.
USA has known since before Trump2 that Taiwan will be regained by China.
Trump is a great salesman for the US military industrial complex.
$11 billion sales to a government that is militarily and monetarily subservient to USA and has been since the 1950s when it was formed using gold stolen from the people of China.
Biden knew the score but Trump is more open about USAs retreat from global empire and rationalisation toward a more regional hegemony over the Americas.
Taiwan for Greenland is the deal- take it or leave it, you are in decline and know it and moving your chip production away from Taiwan because you know its time is up.
Neon gas and the thousands of other essential strategic supply chains are falling or have already fallen to China.
Gotta love how you just claim I am making stuff up when I addressed things you were going to say in this post so maybe take a moment and read the whole thing. The last paragraph addresses your claims directly and takes them apart. The US has stock piled heavy rare earths for the defense industry for 10 years. A cut off wouldn't have immediate or mid range effects on the defense sector.
China has it published by their government that they will use force and invade Taiwan to bring them into the fold. That's the Chinese government saying it not me, not America, not the West, its China. They even use their 2005 Anti-Secession Law as justification.
We sold $11 billion in arms to Taiwan in December and are currently finalizing another significant deal before the Xi/Trump meeting which is pretty odd to do if what you are saying holds any sort of water. The defense industry in the US is a huge employer for manufacturing at the moment so the idea of Trump turning his back on manufacturing when he is in the middle of trying to kick start it is a very out of touch take.
Reshoring, which you are trying to give to Trump and thus shows how little you know, was funded by the CHIPS and Science Act that my Committee spearheaded. So I kinda know this one pretty well and ya see that was a Biden era priority and was passed in 2022. Trump didn't do anything the Biden admin had allotted most of the money.
Even if the US wanted Taiwan to go back and fold into China they don't want to so the idea is moot. It is funny you think Trump would strike a deal like that with Xi blow up his entire end of conflicts legacy he has been chasing. To think Trump would want to nuke his legacy over Taiwan is a terrible terrible take.
Plus lets throw in how China also just hollowed out its entire military leadership and now they have no one with any sort of combat experience in charge.... that's called how to fail 101. You can't replace experience with textbooks.