How Likely Is It to Crack Someone Else’s Bitcoin Wallet? \ stacker news

How Likely Is It to Crack Someone Else’s Bitcoin Wallet?

🐷 Analysts at The Smarter Web ran the numbers.
And the result is… almost poetic rather than technical.

The question seems simple:
“Is it possible to guess the private key of a Bitcoin wallet?”

In theory: Yes

In practice: Almost impossible

To put it into perspective:

👉 Guessing a Bitcoin private key is like:

🎟 Winning the lottery 8 times in a row

And then…

🔁 Repeating that feat another 292 million times

In other words, the probability isn’t zero — but it’s so small that it becomes meaningless in real life.

Why Is It So Infeasible?

Bitcoin uses 256-bit private key cryptography, which creates approximately:

2²⁵⁶ possible keys
≈ 115,792,089,237,316,195,423,570,985,008,687,907,853,269,984,665,640,564,039,457,584,007,913,129,639,936

This number is so large that:

Even if every computer on Earth ran nonstop since the beginning of the universe

It still wouldn’t be enough time to try every possibility

Has Anyone Ever “Hacked” a Bitcoin Wallet?

❌ Not by brute force (guessing private keys)
✔️ Most Bitcoin losses come from:

Exposed seed phrases

Phishing attacks

Malware

Users losing or mishandling their own private keys

👉 Bitcoin isn’t weak. Humans are the weakest link.

Conclusion

✔️ Mathematically: Cracking a Bitcoin wallet is possible
❌ Practically: It is almost impossible

You can try…
But you’ll need:

More than luck

A miracle

Or hundreds of millions of miracles in a row

Bitcoin doesn’t rely on trust.
It relies on cold mathematics and ruthless probability.

And that’s why, after more than a decade,
Bitcoin still stands.