Assume Bitcoin is currently at $90,000.

In prediction markets, choosing YES simply means:

“I believe this will happen.”

Let’s look at two Bitcoin questions.

Example 1: Bitcoin $65K in 2026 (HEDGE mindset)Example 1: Bitcoin $65K in 2026 (HEDGE mindset)

Question:
👉 Will Bitcoin be at $65K in 2026?

Choosing YES here means:

• You believe Bitcoin could fall from $90K → $65K
• You’re preparing for a downside scenario

Why this is a hedge:

• You may still be bullish long-term
• But you want protection if Bitcoin drops
• YES here acts like insurance against downside

🛡️ “I don’t think this is likely — but I want coverage if it happens.”

Example 2: Bitcoin $150K in 2026 (LONG mindset)Example 2: Bitcoin $150K in 2026 (LONG mindset)

Question:
👉 Will Bitcoin reach $150K in 2026?

Choosing YES here means:

• You believe Bitcoin will rise significantly from $90K → $150K
• You’re expressing a strong bullish view

Why this is long:

• Clear upside conviction
• No protection — just belief in higher prices

📈 “I think Bitcoin is going much higher.”

The key differenceThe key difference

• YES on $65K → Defensive thinking (hedge)
• YES on $150K → Offensive thinking (long)

Same action.
Very different intent.

One-line takeawayOne-line takeaway

Prediction markets let you express belief or protection using the same simple action: YES.