🐷 How Much Lower Can Bitcoin Go?

Reading the Market Through the Lens of Peter Brandt’s Logarithmic Curves

Veteran trader Peter Brandt points to a critical detail in Bitcoin’s long-term structure: the upper boundary of BTC’s lower logarithmic curve — a level that has historically acted as strong support — currently sits around $40,000.

And here’s the uncomfortable part: That’s just the upper line. In previous cycles, Bitcoin has dipped well below this band before momentum returned.

But this cycle adds a twist we’ve never seen before: Bitcoin failed to reach the upper boundary of the curve during its run-up — a sign that macro pressures, liquidity cycles, ETF flows, and miner dynamics may be reshaping the old patterns.

So how low can Bitcoin really go?

$40,000 marks structural support in Brandt’s model.

Below $40,000 is not impossible — history shows BTC can undercut even major trend lines.

But long-term gravity still pulls upward, and Bitcoin’s broader adoption curve remains intact.

Volatility is the price of admission. Conviction is the edge.

Bitcoin continues to rewrite the map — this cycle is no exception.

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