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This seems unlikely to me. If quantum develops sufficiently to be a significant risk there will be a massive amount of pressure from institutions holding bitcoin to upgrade to quantum resistant cryptography. I highly doubt there will be a large enough cohort of "do nothing" supporters to stop it.

I hope you're right. However, bitcoiners aren't the type that typically like being told what to do. This especially from institutions. Seems to me that bitcoiners are often more likely to do the opposite of whatever the institutions mandate. I could be totally wrong on this one though. It comes back to the "aligned incentives" and if everyone feels they're truly aligned. Appreciate your thoughts.

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I think bitcoiners have a lot of incentive to protect their interests but I agree it will be contentious.

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