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I've been wrong many times, but SEA -4.5 seems like a layup here. Elite defenses overperform the spread in the SB, NE has had no real competition to get there. Might take SEA on some alternative lines too with odds in case of a blowout.

Soon.

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haha

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50 sats \ 1 reply \ @Bell_curve 16h

I will take Patriots +4.5 vs any bettor

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let's do 500 sats (remind me if Seahawks don't cover, and I will send.)

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67 sats \ 1 reply \ @Bell_curve 18h

I expect a close game: Patriots play man and blitz a lot

I think the defense will create early confusion for Darnold.

Vrabel and McDaniels know how to spot and attack weaknesses.

In fact, I think Patriots +4.5 is a layup!

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ha -- we'll see

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Sadly I think Seattle will win pretty easily. Only a complete Darnold 360 back to Darnold of old can save the Patriots and I am not counting on that. Kubiak has done an amazing job putting Darnold in positions where he can be successful and gain confidence.

NE needs to get the ball and score first and they need to send the house to stop the run and pressure Darnold on obvious passing downs. Easier said than done with how well the Seahawks OLine and TEs are blocking.

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You underestimate Vrabel

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Not underestimating him at all. He is a good coach and I am sure the Pats will play a good, solid fundamental game. I just think the Seahawks are better in every facet of the game so it would take either a heroic performance from Maye or a terrible one from Darnold for Pats to win.

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68 sats \ 1 reply \ @BlokchainB 23h

Terrible performance from Darnold = Vrabel defensive scheme to stop him

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28 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 23h

I do think the Christian Gonzalez can probably travel with JSN and limit him.

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agree -- going to try and find some lines like SEA -13.5 at 3:1 or whatever it would pay

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This is what I see on FanDuel right now

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Yep. This is Seattle's to lose. No doubt to me.

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I know blowouts have been common in the Super Bowl historically. Do you think the parity and mediocrity you've been complaining about changes that, though?

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it has recently, but I think the Pats are a weak representative for the AFC, and Seattle is solid

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this is not 1985 or 1996 Patriots

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I committed myself to dying on the Darnold-will-crumble hill already.

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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @j7hB75 22h

Lol

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