VisionofBitcoin

Stacker_Stocks

The probability of what is happening is practically zero.

Three 6-sigma events occurred in one week.

– Debt securities
– Silver
– Gold

We are experiencing a statistical impossibility.

Let me explain:

Last Tuesday, the 30-year Japanese debt registered what we call a “6-sigma” session.

Two days ago, silver did even better: it was at 5-sigma on the upside, then reached 6-sigma on the downside. IN A SINGLE SESSION.

And gold now? It rose 23% in less than a month. We are getting very close to a 6-sigma event.

That's three 6-sigma events in ONE WEEK.

To explain briefly: in finance, we measure price movements around an average using the standard deviation, which we call sigma.

1-sigma: normal
2-sigma: common
3-sigma: starting to become rare
4-sigma: exceptional
5-sigma: extremely rare
6-sigma: should occur once every 500 million

These are the 6-sigma type episodes we've seen before:

– The October 1987 crash, a 22% drop in one session
– The COVID-19 crash in March 2020
– The surge in the Swiss franc in January 2015
– WTI oil going negative in April 2020

But we've never had 3 events occurring in one week.

Do you understand the point?

A 6-sigma event is almost NEVER triggered by a simple macro headline.

It almost always comes from the market structure: leverage, overly concentrated positions, margin calls, collateral problems, and forced sales or purchases.

This is important to understand because we are talking about internal tensions in the mechanics of the system.

As you know, the Japanese bond market is at the heart of the global financial system, and I won't go into that whole thing, but a 6-sigma movement in a market of that size doesn't go unnoticed.

Seeing a 6-sigma movement in silver just a few days later gives one pause for thought.

And now gold?? This is absolutely insane.

Why are we seeing extreme statistical events, days apart, in such different markets?

When a pillar of global financing becomes unstable, leverage tends to contract, and two things happen simultaneously: forced selling in certain assets and forced protective buying in others.

Historically, precious metals tend to be among the beneficiaries.

Long-term interest rates say something about the credibility of states: that is, their ability to honor future debts without resorting massively to inflation.

Precious metals say something about the credibility of the currency itself, and when both become unstable at the same time, we are looking at a questioning of the monetary framework. I won't elaborate, because I want to share the rest in another tweet tomorrow, but generally when a regime starts to crack, the adjustments are BRUTAL.

It's precisely at these moments that several high-sigma events appear in different asset classes.

I'll repeat: seeing three consecutive 6-sigma events is not normal.

Gold and silver are explicitly telling you that we are experiencing a real paradigm shift.

![](https://m.stacker.news/127891)

The impossible has just happened.

econ

On purpose.

For the first time in 15 years, the interests of Washington and Tokyo have aligned.

On Friday, the NY Fed called dealers asking for USD/JPY quotes.

This has a name: rate check.

Last warning before intervention.

The last time the US and Japan intervened TOGETHER in the exchange rate was after Fukushima, in 2011.

Why now?

Japan needs a strong yen to contain inflation.
Trump needs low long-term yields to refinance the debt.

Both problems are solved with the same solution: a weaker dollar.

The Numbers:

→ $DXY below 96: 4-year low
→ 40-year JGB: hit 4.24% last week: first time since 2007
→ US shutdown: deadline January 30th
→ Powell: replacement could be announced THIS WEEK

The Math:

→ DXY plummeting = "Sell America" returning strongly
→ Every dollar-denominated asset needs to be repriced
→ Gold and silver at all-time highs is no coincidence

For Bitcoin:

Short term = risk. Too strong a yen forces an unwind of the carry trade.

Medium term = bullish.

Weak dollar = the scenario that justifies the original $BTC thesis.

What to watch:

→ FOMC tomorrow
→ Chair nomination
→ DXY

Faith in the dollar as a global reserve currency is ending. Fast.

Take a position accordingly.

![](https://m.stacker.news/127752)

The dollar is being sacrificed.

This is simply insane.

Silver was having one of the biggest days in history, rising 14%.

And then, it reversed EVERYTHING.

Silver just wiped out today's movement.

$900 BILLION in market cap wiped out in 90 minutes.

![](https://m.stacker.news/127648)

Extreme volatility: silver reverses one of the greatest rallies in history.

bitcoin

Do you carry your private Bitcoin keys with you?

Then consider reconsidering.

Imagine the police simply leaking your seeds and you LOSING everything.

Well, it's already happened.

![](https://m.stacker.news/127647)

Walking around with your Bitcoin seeds could be a fatal mistake.

Bitcoin's computing power rate is falling severely, possibly linked to winter storms occurring in the US, a country that accounts for more than 37% of global mining.

Hashrate has decreased by approximately 10% in the last 24 hours alone.

![](https://m.stacker.news/127612)

Bitcoin mining is declining.

This could add more fuel to the rally in stocks and metals.

And make Bitcoin take off.

Understand and position yourself:

Last Thursday, the NY Fed called the major banks.

They inquired about conditions in the yen market.

This is called a "rate check."

It's the last step before currency intervention.

The US hasn't done this since 1998.

If it happens, the mechanism is straightforward:

→ Fed creates dollars out of thin air
→ Uses these dollars to buy yen
→ Fed's balance sheet expands
→ More global liquidity
→ Risk assets rise

Arthur Hayes explained where to look:

Every Thursday, the Fed publishes the H.4.1 report.

The line that matters: "Foreign currency denominated assets."

Today it's at ~$19 billion. It's been stuck there forever.

If that number starts to rise, you'll know what to do. Hayes' thesis is simple: Bitcoin follows dollar liquidity.

2025 was the year the Fed drained the system. BTC moved sideways.

If the dollar tap reopens—for whatever reason—BTC will react.

He projects $200k by March if the intervention is confirmed.

Two hundred. Thousand. Dollars.

By March.

The problem is what happens along the way.

There are still hundreds of billions in carry trade.

People who borrowed cheap yen to buy risk assets.

If the yen strengthens too quickly, this group needs to liquidate positions to cover the loans.

What to monitor:

→ federalreserve.gov/releases/h41
→ Every Thursday, line “Foreign currency denominated assets”
→ Increase = thesis confirmed

The largest liquidity injection since COVID may be forming right now.

Position yourself accordingly.

![](https://m.stacker.news/127494)

The Fed is about to print dollars to save Japan.

Simply unbelievable.

The guy bought Bitcoin every day, $30 a day in DCA, and after 7 years his portfolio reached $1 million.

He spent $86,370 in total, which is now worth $1 million.

![](https://m.stacker.news/127345)

The power to buy every day

There have been no significant advances in the last 24 hours. The number of open positions continues to decrease, signaling greater risk aversion in leveraged markets, which is pushing the spot market towards greater dominance.

We still have liquidity levels just below $86,500; after reaching the $87-88k zone, we would see some relief from the downward trend. The expectation is that the pause in Japanese interest rates and possible intervention by the Bank of Japan in the exchange rate will somewhat alleviate the risk-off sentiment caused by a new rise in long-term bond yields.

![](https://m.stacker.news/127218)

Bitcoin faces resistance in the intermediate channel.

Simply unbelievable.

8 years ago, a guy mortgaged his house to buy 191 bitcoins.

The most upvoted comment on Reddit:

"First, good luck. Second, let me tell you how stupid you are."

Today, those 191 BTC are worth $17 million.

![](https://m.stacker.news/127056)

He mortgaged his house. He bought Bitcoin. He made history.

Strategy now has more bitcoins than all the countries in the world combined.

Stock exchanges have operated during business hours for over 300 years.

Not anymore.

The New York Stock Exchange has just announced 24/7 trading.

Settlement on the blockchain. Tokenized shares. End of D+1.

And it chose the perfect day to do it.

January 19th. MLK holiday. Markets closed.

The irony is not accidental. It's the message.

What really matters:

→ Instant settlement (D+0, not D+1)
→ Trillions in collateral locked in the system will be released
→ Orders in dollars, not fractional shares
→ Stablecoins as funding in clearinghouses
→ Tokenized shares fungible with traditional ones

This last point is critical.

It's not a derivative.

It's not synthetic.

It's not a wrapper.

Same stock. Same dividend. Same vote.

But on tracks that don't stop.

BNY and Citi are already working with the NYSE on tokenized deposits.

Money on the blockchain inside clearing houses.

Margin call at 3 AM Tokyo time? Settled instantly.

The banking system was the bottleneck.
That bottleneck will be removed.

The consequence that will hurt:

Clearing. Reconciliation. Back office. Custody.

Tens of thousands of jobs exist because of D+1.

Instant settlement automates this.
It's not efficiency.

It's obsolescence.

And the global pressure:

London. Frankfurt. Tokyo. Hong Kong.

If the NYSE operates 24/7 and you don't—why would global investors choose you?

The American market represents 65% of the global stock market value.

It just became accessible all the time. All that's missing is the SEC's OK.

Capital will accelerate to where it was already going.

Other exchanges have two options: copy or die.

The real risk:

Same volume in 24 hours = fragmented liquidity.

Larger difference between buy and sell prices outside of trading hours.

A flash drop at 4 am with no pause mechanism.

This will happen.

The question is whether the benefit compensates.

My view: It compensates.

But the transition will be brutal for those who don't adapt.

The NYSE announced it on the holiday on purpose.

To show the problem it's solving.

Welcome to the world that never shuts down.


https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/01/19/nyse-to-launch-24-7-blockchain-powered-tokenized-stock-and-etf-trading

![](https://m.stacker.news/126662)

New York Stock Exchange announces trading 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.

📌 The Strange Inconsistency of ETFs.

For the past two years, ETFs have behaved in a certain pattern.

The "rule" was consolidated and relatively constant periods of BUYING or SELLING.

The trend of ETFs, especially during periods of high inflow, has always been "evident."

In the periods illustrated below:

32 days of inflow
10 consecutive days of buying
2 days of outflow

40 days of inflow
8 days of outflow

52 days of inflow
9 days of outflow

But now this seems to have CHANGED COMPLETELY.

In the last week, we had days of inflows of $800 million, followed by outflows. Inconsistency is the first point, but daily inflows above $800 million haven't been seen so often.

👉 The market seems extremely divided, but it appears to me that some major players are convinced and confident about increasing their positions!

![](https://m.stacker.news/126552)

This is the FIRST TIME this has happened with Bitcoin ETFs.

Largest inflow since October

Institutional accumulation of BTC has returned.

![](https://m.stacker.news/126214)

Wall Street just dumped $840 million worth of Bitcoin in a single day.

The pattern continues

2026 has barely begun and institutions have already bought 6 times more BTC than has been mined

Sellers are running out.

![](https://m.stacker.news/126150)

Institutional Purchases Will Reach 6x More Targets Than Mining by 2026

Bitcoin Hits $96K 🚨

$200 Million in Bitcoin Shorts Liquidated in 60 Minutes

![](https://m.stacker.news/126029)

$200 Million Bitcoin Shorts Liquidated in 60 Minutes

Growing up means realizing that the real hack is buying $50 worth of Bitcoin every week and continuing to behave as if you're broke.

400 weeks later:
Cash ≈ $20,000 
Gold ≈ $38,000 
Bitcoin ≈ $148,000+

That's the price of patience.


![](https://m.stacker.news/125832)

The Silent Power of Buying Bitcoin Every Week

Politics_And_Law

Iran has been under a total internet blackout for 60 hours.

We saw this happen in Nepal.

We are seeing it happen in Iran. There are rumors that it will happen in Uganda depending on the election results.

And I feel we will see it happen in several other places.

When leaders feel threatened, they do everything to contain their population. And almost always this means some level of restrictions on information and social networks.

Iran cut off its population's internet on Thursday to deal with the ongoing Revolution, leaving MILLIONS of people without access.

The few remaining connections are coming from Starlinks, whose "shutdown" is not so SIMPLE.

In both Nepal and Iran, the Bitchat app – which allows communication between people nearby without internet – is also being widely used.

When governments seek to isolate their population to contain their insurgency, technologies become true treasures in the fight for freedoms.

Fighting against such technologies is literally fighting against the only tools that guarantee people some power when things get really bad.

![](https://m.stacker.news/125656)

🛰🇮🇷📡 STARLINK VS. SHUTDOWN IN IRAN

That's right.

One of the richest families on the planet, the architects of the petrodollar, are mining the asset that could replace it.

And the coincidence is too convenient to be an accident.

February 2022: The US and its allies freeze $300 billion in Russian reserves.

Decades of accumulation evaporated in an instant.

Every sovereign nation took note.

In the same year, the Al Nahyan family of Abu Dhabi built an 80,000 m² bitcoin mining operation in a matter of months.

Literally, the architects of the petrodollar began converting oil into $BTC.

Approximately 6,300 BTC accumulated.

Not bought. Mined.

Among the largest sovereign holders in the world – alongside the US, China, and the UK.

Difference: those three accumulated via police seizure. Abu Dhabi built its own infrastructure to produce it.

In command: Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan.

National Security Advisor and brother of the President of the Emirates.

This isn't a fund testing a thesis. It's a Royal Family vertically integrating the production of a scarce asset.

What the press calls "diversification" is actually insurance for the future.

Against sanctions. Against a change in the global order. Against friends and enemies.

Reserves in dollars, euros, Treasuries are yours until they're not anymore.

Bitcoin in your own custody cannot be frozen. It doesn't go through SWIFT. It doesn't ask for permission.

50 years sustaining the hegemony of the dollar. Now, mining the emergency exit.

No official statement. No speech at the UN.

Just machines running – right after watching Russia become an example.

If Abu Dhabi is doing it, the rest of the Gulf is taking note.

The petrodollar doesn't die with headlines.

It dies in the silence of a $BTC mining operation in the desert...

![](https://m.stacker.news/125655)

The Royal Oil Family is Mining Bitcoin

$310M in longs. Accumulated profit: +$9.4M

What does she know?

![](https://m.stacker.news/125409)

The whale that shorted Bitcoin heavily has just turned bullish

![](https://m.stacker.news/125323)

Saylor only wants one thing:
To buy Bitcoin.

But eventually the money runs out, right?

Wrong. He found a way out.

He created $STRC — a preferred stock that works like a turbocharged savings account.
Annual return of 11%. Paid every month. In dollars.

And the trick is in the price:
STRC was designed to always trade near $100.
When it goes above $100, Strategy can issue more shares.
Each issuance becomes cash. Each cash becomes bitcoin.

The numbers:
In November, ~$100M was raised in 4 days.

That's ~$25M per business day.

$25 million. Every. Single. Day.
If he can keep up the pace:
$500M per month. $6B per year.

All this through a single instrument.

$STRC just hit $100 again.
Saylor is, at this moment, filling his hand with cash to buy more $BTC. This isn't a company.

It's a money printer.

While everyone debates whether this cycle is 4 or 5 years, Saylor has already left the cycle.

He no longer needs a bull market. He prints his own.

How many companies will copy this model this year?

How Saylor Prints Money Legally (and Forever)

The Story of the Miner Who Never Touched His Bitcoins

Even if he has other portfolios, the fact remains: this one never sold a single satoshi. The narrative isn't about total wealth, it's about extreme conviction over 8 years. The data confirms this.